Monday, November 30, 2009

Feeling Bad at Bonifacio Day

Ever since I woke up this morning, I'm not really feeling well. I hope this flu-like symptoms go away soon. Anyway, I had a huge laugh with this ERAP Infomercial

Papunta pa lang sila, si ERAP pabalik na. I really laughed at this. The COMELEC should disqualify him ASAP, but before that, I am really hoping to see more of his C$%9.

Speaking of rubbish, I was able to download the Climategate emails thanks to torrents. For those who haven't heard of it yet, a group of hackers were able to retrieve confidential emails from a certain University. The hacked emails suggest that many of the data published supporting man-made Global Warming are manipulated. In other words, Global Warming is a hoax. Climategate was first reported Nov 20, yet the number of pages in Google with the keyword climategate is already 10.7 Million. That's slightly more than the 10.4 of global warming. This is an important development for all lovers of Liberty. If Global Warming is indeed a hoax, then all the funds aimed at alleviating it are wasted. Worse, it will probably go to corruption.

Here's a link to where you can download it:

Here's one file/email worth checking: Emphases are mine

From: Tom Wigley <wigley@ucar.edu>
To: Kevin Trenberth <trenbert@ucar.edu>
Subject: Re: BBC U-turn on climate
Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2009 01:01:24 -0600
Cc: Michael Mann <mann@meteo.psu.edu>, Stephen H Schneider <shs@stanford.edu>, Myles Allen <allen@atm.ox.ac.uk>, peter stott <peter.stott@metoffice.gov.uk>, "Philip D. Jones" <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>, Benjamin Santer <santer1@llnl.gov>, Thomas R Karl <Thomas.R.Karl@noaa.gov>, Gavin Schmidt <gschmidt@giss.nasa.gov>, James Hansen <jhansen@giss.nasa.gov>, Michael Oppenheimer <omichael@Princeton.EDU>

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Dear all,

At the risk of overload, here are some notes of mine on the recent
lack of warming. I look at this in two ways. The first is to look at
the difference between the observed and expected anthropogenic trend 
relative to the pdf for unforced variability. The second is to remove 
ENSO, volcanoes and TSI variations from the observed data.

Both methods show that what we are seeing is not unusual. The second
method leaves a significant warming over the past decade.

These sums complement Kevin's energy work.

Kevin says ... "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of 
warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't". I do not
agree with this.

Tom.

+++++++++++++++++++++++

Kevin Trenberth wrote:
> Hi all
> Well I have my own article on where the heck is global warming?  We are 
> asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the past two 
> days for the coldest days on record.  We had 4 inches of snow.  The high 
> the last 2 days was below 30F and the normal is 69F, and it smashed the 
> previous records for these days by 10F.  The low was about 18F and also 
> a record low, well below the previous record low.  This is January 
> weather (see the Rockies baseball playoff game was canceled on saturday 
> and then played last night in below freezing weather).
> Trenberth, K. E., 2009: An imperative for climate change planning: 
> tracking Earth's global energy. /Current Opinion in Environmental 
> Sustainability/, *1*, 19-27, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2009.06.001. [PDF] 
> (A PDF of the published version can be obtained from the author.)
> The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment 
> and it is a travesty that we can't.  The CERES data published in the 
> August BAMS 09 supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more 
> warming: but the data are surely wrong.  Our observing system is inadequate.
> That said there is a LOT of nonsense about the PDO.  People like CPC are 
> tracking PDO on a monthly basis but it is highly correlated with ENSO.  
> Most of what they are seeing is the change in ENSO not real PDO.  It 
> surely isn't decadal.  The PDO is already reversing with the switch to 
> El Nino.  The PDO index became positive in September for first time 
> since Sept 2007.   see 
> Kevin
> Michael Mann wrote:
>> extremely disappointing to see something like this appear on BBC.  its 
>> particularly odd, since climate is usually Richard Black's beat at BBC 
>> (and he does a great job). from what I can tell, this guy was formerly 
>> a weather person at the Met Office. 
>>
>> We may do something about this on RealClimate, but meanwhile it might 
>> be appropriate for the Met Office to have a say about this, I might 
>> ask Richard Black what's up here?
>>
>> mike
>>
>> On Oct 12, 2009, at 2:32 AM, Stephen H Schneider wrote:
>>
>>> Hi all. Any of you want to explain decadal natural variability and 
>>> signal to noise and sampling errors to this new "IPCC Lead Author" 
>>> from the BBC?  As we enter an El Nino year and as soon, as the 
>>> sunspots get over their temporary--presumed--vacation worth a few 
>>> tenths of a Watt per meter squared reduced forcing, there will likely 
>>> be another dramatic upward spike like 1992-2000. I heard 
>>> someone--Mike Schlesinger maybe??--was willing to bet alot of money 
>>> on it happening in next 5 years?? Meanwhile the past 10 years of 
>>> global mean temperature trend stasis still saw what, 9 of the warmest 
>>> in reconstructed 1000 year record and Greenland and the sea ice of 
>>> the North in big retreat?? Some of you observational folks probably 
>>> do need to straighten this out as my student suggests below. Such 
>>> "fun", Cheers, Steve
>>>
>>>
>>> Stephen H. Schneider
>>> Melvin and Joan Lane Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental 
>>> Studies,
>>> Professor, Department of Biology and
>>> Senior Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment
>>> Mailing address:
>>> Yang & Yamazaki Environment & Energy Building - MC 4205
>>> 473 Via Ortega
>>> Ph: 650 725 9978
>>> F:  650 725 4387
>>> Websites:  climatechange.net
>>>            patientfromhell.org
>>>
>>>
>>> ----- Forwarded Message -----
>>> From: "Narasimha D. Rao" <ndrao@stanford.edu <mailto:ndrao@stanford.edu>>
>>> To: "Stephen H Schneider" <shs@stanford.edu <mailto:shs@stanford.edu>>
>>> Sent: Sunday, October 11, 2009 10:25:53 AM GMT -08:00 US/Canada Pacific
>>> Subject: BBC U-turn on climate
>>>
>>> Steve,
>>> You may be aware of this already. Paul Hudson, BBC’s reporter on 
>>> climate change, on Friday wrote that there’s been no warming since 
>>> 1998, and that pacific oscillations will force cooling for the next 
>>> 20-30 years. It is not outrageously biased in presentation as are 
>>> other skeptics’ views.
>>>
>>>  
>>>
>>>
>>>  
>>>
>>> BBC has significant influence on public opinion outside the US.
>>>
>>>  
>>>
>>> Do you think this merits an op-ed response in the BBC from a scientist?
>>>
>>>  
>>>
>>> Narasimha
>>>
>>>  
>>>
>>> -------------------------------
>>> PhD Candidate,
>>> Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources (E-IPER)
>>> Stanford University
>>> Tel: 415-812-7560
>>>
>>>  
>>>
>>
>> -- 
>> Michael E. Mann
>> Professor
>> Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC)
>>
>> Department of Meteorology                 Phone: (814) 863-4075
>> 503 Walker Building                              FAX:   (814) 865-3663
>> The Pennsylvania State University     email:  mann@psu.edu 
>> <mailto:mann@psu.edu>
>> University Park, PA 16802-5013
>>
>> "Dire Predictions" book site: 
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
> -- 
> ****************
> Kevin E. Trenberth                  e-mail: trenbert@ucar.edu
> Climate Analysis Section,           www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/trenbert.html
> NCAR
> P. O. Box 3000,                     (303) 497 1318
> Boulder, CO 80307                   (303) 497 1333 (fax)
> Street address: 1850 Table Mesa Drive, Boulder, CO  80305

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Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Wigley-RecentTemps.doc"

--
"Without economic calculation there can be no economy. Hence in a socialist
state wherein the pursuit of economic calculation is impossible, there can be-in
our sense of the term-no economy whatsoever."
---Ludwig von Mises in "Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth"

Posted via email from Elevic Pernis @ Posterous

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Why I Will Not Vote for Noynoy in a Few Sentences

I will not vote for NOYNOY, and I will abide with my opinion that those who will vote for him deserve to be called rational. They are emotional at best and should be deemed as serfs at worst. Hate me or not. I am exercising my right of free speech, and I have arrive at my conclusions based on the political philosophy of which I do subscribe, Libertarianism.

First of all, Noynoy belongs to the Liberal Party. Take a look at its official platformhttp://antipinoy.com/heres-a-platform-but-no-ones-standing-on-it/
It begins with its praise for free market at the preamble, only to be contradicted at the middle with government interventionism. True (classical) Liberals would emphasize individual rights, especially property rights, minimal government and non-intervention into the market, low/minimal taxes, floating of the wage to market-clearing levels, etc.

It is clear that the Philippine Liberal Party is not a TRUE LIBERAL party. It belongs to the so-called modern Liberalism of continued government interventionism and social distribution of 
wealth. Having said that, fully implementing the Liberal Party platform will only bring us to The Road to Serfdom called democratic socialism and environmentalism, with all the global warming crap. Therefore, criticizing Noynoy on a somewhat more objective level clearly reveals why I a Libertarian should not vote for him.

But to add insult to injury, many people have noticed that aside from he doesn't have any platform, he might also be [RATIONALLY] IGNORANT of his party's platform. To believe and fight for a flawed platform is bad enough, not to have one and to rely solely on the hype of the Ninoy Aquino for President Movement is simply worse. But who would be surprised? It simply reflects the quality of our electorate.

I pity Noynoy that he graduated BS Economics from the Ateneo De Manila, but he appears on National TV plainly ignorant of economics, just cashing on what was left of the Cory Magic. If he really knows something, then he should know that one of the important steps we could do to promote free-market capitalism is to revise our Constitution. Remove the SOCIALISTIC PROVISIONS, i.e. those that read with "The State shall provide..." etc. So many people, even those who believe in CHACHA, don't want to do it right now because they mistrust Arroyo's government. Therefore, if Noynoy truly believes that his honesty can change a lot of things, then he should be bold enough to pursue Charter Change. He's honest anyway, or so he claims. Therefore, there's no longer any moral objection for CHACHA.

Going back to my disappointment with his ignorance of economics, he'll probably do worse the Ben Bernanke, albeit on a different level. Ben Bernanke is the current Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, it's central bank. Instead of just letting the market set interest rates and let AIG and a host of others fail, he intervened. To use Jim Rogers's words, he's there "protecting his friends in Wall St." Ben Bernanke graduated summa cum Laude in BS Economics from Harvard, and has a PhD in Economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, yet he is the person responsible for making the market correction of the US Economy into a Great Depression 2.0

I have less hopes for the Philippines under Noynoy. And it's all because of the ELECTORATE, who refuse to understand that economic and social prosperity lays not in the hand of having an honest, sincere, or even a competent President. It's a function of respect for Individual and Property Rights, i.e. Liberty; a free-market, especially sound money and less taxes; capitalistic savings and all those things that describe the ideal FREE-MARKET CAPITALISM.

Posted via email from Elevic Pernis @ Posterous

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Some Thoughts on Right To Privacy

A professional contact of mine complained that her Grandmother is trying to intrude into her life, reading her private stuff, eavesdropping her phone calls, etc. This is plainly rude. Ok! The intruder is her grandmother, and she might be concerned. But she's going overboard. Her grand daughter is no longer a minor. Aside from that, her fundamental rights are violated, and this worries me.

Classical Liberalism aka Libertarianism teaches that property rights INCLUDING ownership of one's body are BASIC RIGHTS. Remove or undermine property rights, and you undermine Liberty itself. Having said that, INVADING another person's PRIVACY is one instance of trespassing or undermining or property rights. I consider PRIVACY as a derivative right of the right to one own body. By transitivity, Privacy is also a derivative of PROPERTY RIGHTS; and, therefore, it's important to respect privacy in a Liberal society.

The simple lesson I'm reminded in this report is this: It is wrong for someone even if he or she is a close relative to intrude upon someone's PRIVACY. A fortiori, it is wrong and immoral for powerful organizations, especially GOVERNMENTS, to intrude upon our privacy EVEN if such violation is claimed as an act of good will.

Posted via email from Elevic Pernis @ Posterous

Monday, November 16, 2009

Check Out The Randell Tiongson Series of Seminars

Featured below are electronic images of the different seminars that Mr. Randell Tiongson will conduct on the following weeks.

But before that, who is Randell? From his website, we know

J. RANDELL TIONGSON, RFP® is a Personal Finance Coach & Educator

- Co-founder of www.income-tacts.com, the country’s premiere personal finance on-line forums. It’s an on-line community that is dedicated to the financial education of Filipinos. It now has over 2,300 members in 1 year’s time.

- Director of the Registered Financial Planner Institute Philippines (local chapter of RFPI, Ohio, U.S.A.)

- 20+ years of experience in the Financial Service Industries – Banking, Mutual Funds & Insurance.

- Columnist for the Business Mirror

- Columnist and contributor for Moneysense Magazine

- Featured speaker for educational institutions like the Asian Institute of Management, Ateneo, De La Salle, Mapua University, University of Santo Tomas, La Salle Greenhills; De La Salle University, University of the Philippines and various conferences and companies.

- Appears as a resource person for various TV shows like TV Patrol, Bandila, Mornings at ANC, Shoptalk, Business Nightly, Light Talk, Sis, Umagang Kay Ganda, etc.

- Entrepreneur

- A member of the Victory Christian Fellowship

- Married for 18 years to Mia Mapa Tiongson with 4 children


Important Disclosure


Following the more strict regulations of the US Federal Trade Commission, I make the following disclosure.

Attendees of the Branding U event, upon registering on site and paying the appropriate fee, shall also be asked to write who is his or her referrer. For example, if you decide to attend this event and learned of this event through me (personally or through information published in my sites or blogs), the referrer would be me, ELEVIC L. PERNIS.

If I shall be able to refer at least 4 attendees in Branding U, I get a privilege to attend the said event for free. On the other hand, should the number of people I refer exceed 4, I shall be given a referral fee. More specifically, every additional referral would entitle me to PhP 500.00 each.

Posted via web from Elevic Pernis @ Posterous

Monday, November 9, 2009

The Dead Zone: The Implicit Marginal Tax Rate

I found this fascinating quote today:

Everywhere, the government's desire to be generous to the poor is destroying the positive incentives to work and to save that are so necessary for a well-functioning economy. FULL ARTICLE by Clifford F. Thiesmises.org, Ludwig von Mises Institute, Nov 2009

You should read the whole article.

Posted via email from Elevic Pernis @ Posterous

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Testing Posting to Posterous Thru Email

There's this feature of Posterous that you could make a blog post by emailing your entry. I haven't tried it yet; I only post via the web. I will test this. By the way, the Mises quote below is my GMAIL signature.

Posted via email from Elevic Pernis @ Posterous